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A factual log of presidential escalations

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Threatened Federal Reserve independence and launched investigation into Jerome Powell

January 13, 2026

4
Level

Systemic Escalation

Founders' Principles Violated

Guardrails Violated

Trigger

President Trump publicly criticized Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell for not lowering interest rates quickly enough. Trump's administration threatened criminal prosecution and issued subpoenas against Fed officials, attempting to gain control over monetary policy.

Action Taken

Publicly criticized Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell in speech at Detroit Economic Club on January 13, 2026, accusing him of failing to lower interest rates quickly enough. Administration threatened criminal charges and issued subpoenas against Fed officials. Launched investigation into Powell and Fed operations, attempting to gain control over monetary policy decisions. These actions undermined the traditional independence of the Federal Reserve from political interference.

In His Own Words

"The Fed is too slow to act."

"Powell has failed the American people."

"We need to investigate the Fed's decision-making."

What's Wrong

Threats and investigation against independent Federal Reserve officials violate norms of central bank independence. Attempting to gain control over monetary policy through intimidation and legal pressure undermines institutional independence. Federal Reserve independence is a cornerstone of financial system stability, protected by tradition and institutional design.

Impact

Institutional: Undermines Federal Reserve independence, a cornerstone of financial system stability. Economic: Threatens market confidence and could lead to inflation concerns, currency instability. Operational: Creates uncertainty about monetary policy and central bank independence. International: Raises concerns among international investors about US financial system stability.

Sources & Full Details

Primary Sources

Background

The Federal Reserve is designed to operate independently from political interference to ensure monetary policy decisions are based on economic data rather than political pressure. Federal Reserve independence is considered essential for financial system stability and inflation control. Trump's threats and investigation into Powell and Fed officials violated these norms, raising concerns about political interference in monetary policy.

Why Level 4?

Systemic escalation: Threats and investigation against independent Federal Reserve undermine central bank independence. Multiple guardrails bypassed: independent agencies, separation of powers, institutional oversight. Measurable harm to financial system stability and institutional integrity.